Battle for Yuan: Chinese Tech Giants Burn Billions for AI Traffic
В Китае стартовала ежегодная гонка «красных конвертов» (Hongbao), но в 2026 году правила игры изменились. Теперь это не просто маркетинг, а стратегическая битва
AI-processed from 36Kr (36氪); edited by Hamidun News
China is preparing to celebrate the Lunar New Year, but instead of the usual festive lull, we're witnessing a genuine digital war. While users plan trips to see relatives, Tencent rolled out heavy artillery: 1 billion yuan to promote its AI assistant Yuanbao. This is not just a seasonal promotion, but an aggressive attempt to seize leadership from Doubao by ByteDance, which until now has felt quite comfortable in the market.
The battle for "red envelopes" (Hongbao) — a traditional way to attract audiences in China — but in 2026 it has completely shifted from financial services to artificial intelligence. The history of these wars has roots in the mid-2010s, when Alibaba and Tencent fought over the mobile payments market. Back then, billions were burned to tie a user's bank card to their wallet.
Today, the goal is far more ambitious. Tech giants are trying to capture the position of "main internet entry point." If you train a person to ask your AI assistant for a holiday dumpling recipe or travel plans, you get not just a click, but a full window into their everyday life and long-term loyalty to your ecosystem.
Statistics from the App Store confirm that money still decides much. In just a few days, Yuanbao shot to first place among free apps, pushing out competitors. This is a classic Chinese strategy of "flooding the market with liquidity," which local corporations have perfected.
However, in 2026, cashback alone is no longer enough. Users have become far more demanding about answer quality. If the AI model will "hallucinate" or output boring templates, no bonus yuan will keep the audience longer than the holiday week.
This turns the marketing race into a harsh stress-test for server capacity and algorithms. All the heavyweights of the industry have joined the game. Beyond Tencent and ByteDance, Baidu and Alibaba have activated their own budgets, channeling hundreds of millions to support their own AI solutions.
We are witnessing a transition from competition between individual products to total platform warfare. Large Language Models (LLM) are becoming the foundation on which everything is built — from information search to online shopping. Whoever wins the traffic battle during these holidays will get a colossal array of data to train their systems for the entire next year, creating a self-sustaining cycle of dominance.
It is especially curious to observe ByteDance's position. For a long time, their Doubao was considered the undisputed leader among consumer AI services in China thanks to recommendation algorithms. But when Tencent's marketing machine enters the game with its seamless integration into WeChat, the rules change instantly.
This reminds us of the old taxi aggregator or food delivery service wars, only now instead of couriers, we're choosing algorithms that will think, plan, and entertain us.
Main point: The fate of China's AI market is now being decided not in research laboratories, but in the wallets of ordinary users. Will Tencent be able to maintain its lead after the holiday bonuses end, or will users return to their familiar tools?
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